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NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES

DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES AND INTERNATIONAL FACTOR MOBILITY John F. Helliwell Working Paper 10945 http://www.nber.org/papers/w10945 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 December 2004

Paper presented at the Global Demographic Change Symposium Sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City at Jackson Hole, Wyoming, August 26-28, 2004. I am grateful to Martin Berka and Lisette Lacroix for bibliographic assistance, and to Haifang Huang for fast and effective data collection, analysis and presentation of results. Research support from the Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada is gratefully acknowledged. Thanks also for helpful comments and advice from Ralph Bryant, Tim Hatton, Robert Lafrance, John Madden, John Murray, Larry Schembri, Alan Taylor and Jeffrey Williamson. The views expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Econmic Research. © 2004 by John F. Helliwell. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source.

Demographic Changes and International Factor Mobility John F. Helliwell NBER Working Paper No. 10944 December 2004 JEL No. F4, F2 ABSTRACT This paper reviews the extent and policy implications of linkages between demographic changes and international factor mobility. Evidence is found of significant demographic effects on both migration and the current account, but for different reasons neither increased migration nor international transfers of savings is expected to offer much assistance in digesting the variety of demographic transitions expected over the next fifty years. The paper also examines more briefly the effects of demography on the factor…...

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